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The Economic Impact of Climate Change on Kenyan Crop Agriculture : A Ricardian Approach

AGRICULTURAL DIVERSITY AGRICULTURAL EXTENSION AGRICULTURAL INTENSIFICATION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTION AGRICULTURAL PRODUCTIVITY AGRICULTURAL SYSTEMS AGRICULTURE AIR ALLUVIAL SOILS ALTITUDE ARABLE AREAS ARABLE LAND ARID ZONES ATMOSPHERE AVERAGE ANNUAL RAINFALL BARLEY BEANS CAPITA INCOMES CASH CROPS CASHEW NUTS CASSAVA CLIMATE CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATE CHANGES CLIMATE EFFECTS CLIMATE FORECASTS CLIMATE RESEARCH CLIMATE SENSITIVITY CLIMATE VARIABILITY CLIMATE VARIABLES CLIMATE VARIATION CLIMATE ZONES CLIMATES CLIMATIC CONDITIONS CLIMATIC ZONES CLOUDS CO2 COCONUT COFFEE COMMODITIES CORN COTTON CROP CROP AGRICULTURE CROP DAMAGE CROP DIVERSIFICATION CROP MIX CROP PRODUCTION CROP VARIETIES CROP YIELD CROP YIELDS CROPLANDS CROPS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES DRAINAGE DROUGHT DRY LAND ECOLOGICAL ZONE ECOLOGICAL ZONES ECONOMIC ANALYSIS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC IMPACT ECONOMIC IMPACTS ECONOMICS EL NINO ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS ENVIRONMENTAL ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS ENVIRONMENTAL PROTECTION EVAPORATION EVAPOTRANSPIRATION FAO FARM FARM INCOMES FARM MANAGEMENT FARM REVENUES FARMER FARMERS FARMING FARMING SYSTEMS FARMS FERTILIZATION FERTILIZERS FIELD CROPS FLOODING FLOODS FOOD CROPS FOOD PRODUCTION FOOD SECURITY FOREST FORESTRY FORESTS FROST GCM GDP GLOBAL CLIMATE CHANGE GLOBAL ENVIRONMENT GLOBAL WARMING GRAZING GREENHOUSE GASES GROUNDWATER HABITAT HORTICULTURAL CROPS HYDROLOGICAL DATA HYDROLOGY HYDROMETEOROLOGY INCOME INPUT PRICES INTERGOVERNMENTAL PANEL ON CLIMATE CHANGE IPCC IRRIGATION LABOR FORCE LAKES LAND USE LAND VALUE LOAM SOILS MAIZE MAIZE PRODUCTION MARKET PRICES METEOROLOGY MIDDLE EAST MILLET MIXED CROPPING MULTIPLE CROPPING NATURAL CAPITAL NITROGEN OCEANS PASTORALISM PASTORALISTS PHOSPHOROUS PHOTOSYNTHESIS PLANT BREEDING PLANTING PLANTING DATES POPULATION GROWTH POTASSIUM POTENTIAL IMPACTS PRECIPITATION PRODUCERS PRODUCTION FUNCTIONS PRODUCTIVITY RAIN RAINFALL RAINY SEASON RANGELANDS RECYCLING RICE RICE PRODUCTION RIVER RIVER BASINS RIVERS ROCKS RUNOFF RURAL DEVELOPMENT SAHEL SATELLITES SAVINGS SEA SEED SHADING SMALL FARMERS SNOW SNOW COVER SOIL SOIL CLASSIFICATION SOIL CONSERVATION SOIL EROSION SOIL FERTILITY SOIL TYPE SOIL TYPES SOILS SORGHUM SPRING SUGARCANE SUNFLOWER SURFACE AIR TEMPERATURE SURFACE TEMPERATURE SUSTAINABLE WATER TEA TEMPERATURE TEMPERATURE CHANGES TEMPERATURE DATA TREES VARIABLE COSTS VEGETATION WAGE RATES WATER HARVESTING WATER RESOURCE WATER RESOURCES WATER SUPPLY WATER USE WEATHER WEATHER EVENTS WEATHERING WETLANDS WHEAT WORLD FOOD SUPPLY YIELDS
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World Bank, Washington, DC
Africa | Kenya
2012-06-06T17:37:32Z | 2012-06-06T17:37:32Z | 2007-08

This paper measures the economic impact of climate on crops in Kenya. The analysis is based on cross-sectional climate, hydrological, soil, and household level data for a sample of 816 households, and uses a seasonal Ricardian model. Estimated marginal impacts of climate variables suggest that global warming is harmful for agricultural productivity and that changes in temperature are much more important than changes in precipitation. This result is confirmed by the predicted impact of various climate change scenarios on agriculture. The results further confirm that the temperature component of global warming is much more important than precipitation. The authors analyze farmers' perceptions of climate variations and their adaptation to these, and also constraints on adaptation mechanisms. The results suggest that farmers in Kenya are aware of short-term climate change, that most of them have noticed an increase in temperatures, and that some have taken adaptive measures.

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