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The Effect of Weather-Induced Internal Migration on Local Labor Markets : Evidence from Uganda

ACCESS TO TRANSPORTATION ADJUSTMENT PROCESS AGGLOMERATION ECONOMIES BULLETIN CAPACITY BUILDING CAPITAL MOBILITY CHANCE OF SURVIVAL CIVIL CONFLICT CLIMATE CHANGE CLIMATIC CHANGE CONGESTION CONSUMPTION SMOOTHING COUNTRY COMPARISONS CROPLAND CROSS-SECTIONAL DATA CULTURAL CHANGE DEVELOPING COUNTRIES DEVELOPMENT OF REGION DEVELOPMENT POLICY ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIC GROWTH ECONOMIC MOBILITY ECONOMIC SHOCKS ECONOMIC SURVEYS ELASTICITIES ELASTICITY EMPLOYMENT EFFECTS EMPLOYMENT OUTCOMES EMPLOYMENT PROBABILITY EMPLOYMENT STATUS ENTRY COSTS ENVIRONMENTAL ECONOMICS EXCLUSION RESTRICTION EXTERNALITIES FARMERS FIRM PRODUCTIVITY FOOD CONSUMPTION FOREIGN DIRECT INVESTMENT FREIGHT HIGHWAY HIGHWAYS HOST COUNTRY HUMAN ACTIVITY HUMAN RESOURCES IMMIGRANT IMMIGRANTS IMMIGRATION IMPACT OF MIGRATION INDUSTRIAL DEVELOPMENT INFORMAL SECTOR INFORMATION SYSTEM INFRASTRUCTURE DEVELOPMENT INSURANCE INTERNAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL MIGRANTS INTERNATIONAL MIGRATION INTERNATIONAL TRADE INTERSTATE HIGHWAY SYSTEM JOB OPPORTUNITIES JOB SEARCH JOB-SEEKERS LABOR ECONOMICS LABOR FORCE LABOR MARKET LABOR MARKET IMPACT LABOR MARKET OUTCOMES LABOR MARKETS LABOR RELATIONS LABOR SUPPLY LABOUR LABOUR MARKET LABOUR MARKET INSTITUTIONS LABOUR MARKETS LOCAL LABOR MARKET LOCAL LABOR MARKETS LOW-INCOME COUNTRY MANUFACTURING INDUSTRY MIGRANT MIGRANTS MIGRATION FLOW MIGRATION FLOWS MORTALITY MUNICIPALITIES NUMBER OF MIGRANTS OCCUPATION PLACE OF RESIDENCE POLICY DISCUSSIONS POLICY IMPLICATIONS POLICY RESEARCH POLICY RESEARCH WORKING PAPER POPULATION MOVEMENTS POPULATION SIZE PRIMARY SCHOOL PRODUCTION FUNCTION PRODUCTIVITY PROGRESS PULL FACTORS RAILROADS REAL WAGE REGIONAL AVERAGES REGIONAL BREAKDOWN REGIONAL CHARACTERISTICS REGIONAL DIFFERENCES REGIONAL DISTRIBUTION REGIONAL ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT REGIONAL LEVEL REGIONAL SCIENCE REGIONAL STUDIES REGIONAL VARIATIONS REMITTANCES RESPECT ROAD INFRASTRUCTURE ROAD NETWORK ROAD TRANSPORT ROADS ROUTE RURAL AREA RURAL AREAS RURAL INFRASTRUCTURE RURAL ROAD SMALL ENTERPRISES STATISTICAL ESTIMATION TRANSACTION COSTS TRANSPORT TRANSPORT COSTS TRANSPORT INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSPORTATION TRANSPORTATION COSTS TRANSPORTATION INFRASTRUCTURE TRANSPORTATION STATISTICS UNEMPLOYED UNEMPLOYED PERSONS UNEMPLOYMENT UNEMPLOYMENT RATE URBAN AREAS URBAN GROWTH URBAN MIGRATION URBANIZATION WAGE EFFECTS WAGE IMPACT WAGES WORKER WORKERS
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World Bank, Washington, DC
Africa | Uganda
2013-09-25T21:12:01Z | 2013-09-25T21:12:01Z | 2013-09

Relying on census data collected in 2002 and historical weather data for Uganda, this paper estimates the impact of weather-induced internal migration on the probability for non-migrants living in the destination regions to be employed. Consistent with the prediction of a simple theoretical model, the results reveal a larger negative impact than the one documented for developed countries. They further show that this negative impact is significantly stronger in Ugandan regions with lower road density and therefore less conducive to capital mobility: a 10 percentage points increase in the net in-migration rate in these areas decreases the probability of being employed of non-migrants by more than 10 percentage points.

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