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IMF Working Papers
2008
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed trends, as market fundamentals and underlying monetary policies wer...

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IMF Working Papers
2008
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed trends, as market fundamentals and underlying monetary policies wer...

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IMF Working Papers
2008
INTERNATIONAL MONETARY FUND

Following record low interest rates and fast depreciating U.S. dollar, crude oil prices became under rising pressure and seemed boundless. Oil price process parameters changed drastically in 2003M5-2007M10 toward consistently rising prices. Short-term forecasting would imply persistence of observed trends, as market fundamentals and underlying monetary policies wer...

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Publications & Research :: Working Paper
Washington, DC
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Publications & Research :: Working Paper
Washington, DC
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Publications & Research :: Publication
Washington, DC
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Publications & Research :: Publication
Washington, DC
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Publications & Research :: Working Paper
Washington, DC
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