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Working Paper

A Methodology to Assess Indicative Costs of Risk Financing Strategies for Scaling Up Ethiopia's Productive Safety Net Programme

LIVING STANDARDS CONTINGENT LIABILITIES DEFICIT HOUSEHOLD SURVEY UNCERTAINTIES POVERTY LINE LIABILITY PEOPLE OIL RESERVE FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT FINANCING INTEREST RATE OF RETURN POVERTY ESTIMATES CROP FAILURE INVESTMENT RATE INSURANCE PROGRAM INTEREST RATE EXCHANGE DISCOUNT RATE FINANCIAL RESOURCES COST-EFFECTIVENESS POLITICAL ECONOMY EXCLUSION FINANCIAL COST BONDS DISCOUNT ALTERNATIVE RISK FINANCING FEE CLAIM PAYMENTS PAYMENTS SAVING RESERVE FINANCIER BENEFICIARIES INTERNATIONAL BANK CASH FLOWS INSTRUMENTS INSURANCE MARKET SAFETY NETS INSURANCE COMPANY POVERTY REDUCTION BUDGET COST EFFECTIVENESS DEPENDENT SAVINGS BENEFICIARY FINANCES EMERGENCY BUDGET OPTIONS FINANCIAL COSTS MARKET INSTRUMENT BORROWING RATE TRANSFERS PAYMENT MARKETS DEBT CAPITAL MARKET RETURN ESTIMATES OF POVERTY INTERNATIONAL DEVELOPMENT CHRONIC POVERTY RESERVES SENSITIVITY ANALYSES FOOD AID INSURANCE POLICY FINANCE FUTURE CASH FLOWS BANK POLICY CONTINGENT LIABILITY FOOD ITEMS EXPENDITURE DEBT FINANCING SAFETY NET TRANSFERS POVERTY DATA OPPORTUNITY COST FOOD SECURITY GOOD CAPITAL DROUGHT PAYMENT OBLIGATION SOVEREIGN RISK MARKET CONDITIONS BASIC NEEDS LAST RESORT FUTURE VALUE CLAIM PAYMENT BANK CHRONICALLY POOR RETURNS DISASTER RISK FINANCING BUDGETS CLIMATE SAFETY NET FINANCIAL INSTRUMENTS FINANCIAL INSTRUMENT CONTRACT HOUSEHOLD EXPENDITURES COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS RURAL INSURANCE PREMIUM FINANCIAL ANALYSIS MARKET PUBLIC WORKS PREMIUM PAYMENT POLICY IDIOSYNCRATIC SHOCKS INSURANCE FOOD INSECURITY ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT CHRONIC FOOD INSECURITY GOVERNMENT BONDS SECURITY INVESTMENT BOND DELIVERY INSTRUMENTS HOUSEHOLDS RURAL AREAS POVERTY ALLOCATION FINANCIAL LIABILITY BORROWING INVESTMENTS POOR INSTRUMENT FAMILIES CROP LOSS LIABILITIES FOOD INSECURE HOUSEHOLDS GUARANTEE SWAP BENEFITS CLAIM CATASTROPHE BOND
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World Bank, Washington, DC
Africa | Ethiopia
2016-07-07T21:06:20Z | 2016-07-07T21:06:20Z | 2016-06

This paper proposes and illustrates a methodology to assess the economic cost of the sovereign risk finance instruments available to the Government of Ethiopia and its development partners for financing the shock-responsive scalability component of the Productive Safety Net Programme. The methodology involves: (i) specifying rules for when additional expenditures would be triggered in each woreda; (ii) specifying alternative risk finance strategies; and (iii) analyzing the costs of each risk financing strategy, including sensitivity and scenario testing of the results. The methodology is applied to a hypothetical set of rules for drought-responsive scalability, and a range of potential risk finance strategies.

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