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Malawi Economic Monitor, May 2016 : Absorbing Shocks, Building Resilience

MONETARY POLICY HOLDING FOREIGN DEBT ACCOUNTING REAL INTEREST RATES VALUATION INTEREST OPTION ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS DOMESTIC MARKET DEVELOPING COUNTRIES EXPORTERS REVENUES FISCAL POLICY CAPITAL ADEQUACY BORROWERS GOVERNMENT SUPPORT INFORMATION SYSTEMS TREASURY BILL INSTRUMENTS OIL PRICES LEVEL OF RISK CURRENCY GOVERNMENT POLICY DOMESTIC CURRENCY LEVEL OF CONFIDENCE RESERVE BANK CONTRACTUAL RELATIONSHIP DEBTS EXCHANGE RATES INTEREST RATE VOLATILITY CREDIT RISKS RECURRENT EXPENDITURES MONETARY FUND FINANCIAL INSTITUTIONS DEBT INFLATIONARY PRESSURE MARKETS INFLATION RATE SETTLEMENT BUDGET DEFICIT ZERO COUPON BONDS INCOME LEVELS DOMESTIC DEBT COUPON BONDS BORROWING COSTS DEBT SERVICE RECURRENT EXPENDITURE COMMODITY PRICE MACROECONOMIC STABILIZATION BANKING SECTOR FISCAL DEFICIT TRANSACTIONS EMERGING MARKETS MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT MACROECONOMIC INSTABILITY INTEREST PAYMENTS GOOD GLOBAL MARKET GOVERNMENT INTERVENTIONS DOMESTIC MARKETS TRANSPARENCY FUTURE MARKET PRICES FISCAL BURDEN GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURE BORROWING REQUIREMENT PRICE CHANGES DISBURSEMENTS ISSUANCE LOCAL CURRENCY MARKET RISK MONETARY POLICIES RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEM EXPORTER PUBLIC DEBT TREASURY TREASURY NOTES CREDIT RISK INFLATION RATES INSURANCE CURRENCIES PRICE RISKS COMMERCIAL BANKS COUPON LENDING LIQUIDITY RATIO PUBLIC SECTOR DEBT FISCAL DISCIPLINE PUBLIC SPENDING REMITTANCES COMMODITY PRICES LIABILITIES ARREARS CASH FLOW LOSS OF REVENUE DEBT RELIEF INVESTING RISK MANAGEMENT SYSTEMS TARIFFS DEFICIT GOVERNMENT EXPENDITURES MARKET DISTORTIONS BOND HOLDERS FINANCIAL MANAGEMENT BANK RATE STOCK FISCAL DEFICITS DOMESTIC BORROWING ZERO COUPON DEBT STOCK INTEREST RATE EXCHANGE LIQUIDITY NON- PERFORMING LOANS REAL INTEREST FINANCIAL STATEMENTS BONDS DISCOUNT PRIME LENDING RATE PUBLIC SECTOR BORROWING TAX INCOME TAX CASH TRANSFER NON-PERFORMING LOANS RESERVE BENEFICIARIES CREDITORS INFLATION ENABLING ENVIRONMENT SAFETY NETS BUDGET MACROECONOMIC STABILITY FAIR PRICES GLOBAL ECONOMY AGRICULTURAL COMMODITIES DISBURSEMENT PRICE VOLATILITY CONTRACTS INFLATIONARY PRESSURES IMPORT COSTS TRADING INTEREST RATES PRIVATE INVESTMENT DEFICITS RETURN LOANS RESERVES FINANCE RETURN ON ASSETS FOREIGN CURRENCY MARKET PRICE PUBLIC INVESTMENT TAXES PRICE CHANGE EXPENDITURE EQUITY FOREIGN EXCHANGE RESERVES COUPONS FINANCIAL CRISIS FOREIGN FINANCING PENSIONS RETURNS BUDGETS PURCHASING POWER INVESTOR CONFIDENCE SAFETY NET CONTRACT GOVERNMENT REVENUE EXPENDITURES AMORTIZATION DEFAULT MARKET FOREIGN EXCHANGE BORROWING REQUIREMENTS LEVY LONG-TERM INVESTMENTS MARKET RISKS DISCOUNT RATES GOODS INVESTOR SECURITY STOCKS INVESTMENT BOND SHARE INVESTMENT CLIMATE CREDIT QUALITY POVERTY REVENUE EXTERNAL DEBT PROFIT INVESTMENTS TREASURY BILL RATE RISK MANAGEMENT LEVEL OF DEBT EXCHANGE RATE PROFITS SAVINGS BANK
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World Bank, Lilongwe, Malawi
Africa | Malawi
2016-06-22T15:58:53Z | 2016-06-22T15:58:53Z | 2016-05

This report consists of two parts: Part 1 presents a review of recent economic developments and a macroeconomic outlook. Part 2 focuses in greater depth on a special, selected topic relevant to Malawi's development prospects. This report focuses on agricultural risk management. Malawi is now set to suffer a second year of poor harvests due to the effects of a drought that is sweeping Southern Africa. This drought has had a serious impact both on the economy and on food security, requiring a major humanitarian response. The current situation underscores Malawi's serious need to improve the resilience of the agricultural sector and to develop a better system of risk management. With the country expected to continue to face climate-induced shocks into the future, it is vital that the Government considers how best to mitigate the impact of such shocks. In 2015 Malawi recorded a GDP growth rate of just 2.8 percent, with this low rate the result of both adverse weather conditions and macroeconomic instability. Flooding in southern districts followed by a countrywide drought resulted in a contraction in agricultural production. Maize, the key crop in terms of food security, recorded a 30.2 percent year-on-year drop in production. As a result, an estimated 2.8 million people (17 percent of the population) were unable to meet their 2015/16 food requirements.

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