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Lebanon Economic Monitor, Spring 2016 : A Geo-Economy of Risks and Reward

TAX INCENTIVES TARIFFS FUNDING SOURCE PHYSICAL CAPITAL MONETARY POLICY DEPOSIT FINANCIAL SERVICES ECONOMIC GROWTH LAND ISSUES FACILITATION DEPOSITS PEOPLE TAX EXEMPTION PROPERTY TAX ENVIRONMENTAL DEGRADATION FINANCING BRIBES MINIMUM WAGE INTEREST EXPECTATIONS ENROLLMENT GOVERNMENT FUNDING PRODUCERS INTEREST RATE FINANCIAL BURDENS STOCK MARKET ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENTS BANKING SYSTEM BALANCE OF PAYMENTS FINANCIAL RESOURCES ENTREPRENEURS EMISSIONS POLITICAL ECONOMY REVENUES FISCAL POLICY WELFARE INCENTIVES LOAN MODELS BORROWERS SUBSIDY CORRUPTION PAYMENTS NEW BUSINESS ECONOMIC ANALYSIS DEVELOPED COUNTRIES EXPATRIATES ECONOMIC ACTIVITY EMPIRICAL ANALYSIS LABOR MARKET OIL PRICES EXPLOITATION START-UP OIL COMMERCIAL BANK UNION CURRENT ACCOUNT CAPITAL FORMATION FINANCES INTEREST RATES DEBT OUTSTANDING EXTERNALITIES QUOTAS PAYMENT DEBT FINANCING NEEDS PUBLIC FINANCE POLLUTION SOCIAL SECURITY BENEFIT ANALYSIS VENTURE CAPITAL ECONOMIC REFORMS LOANS ENTERPRISES METALS SUBSIDIES REAL ESTATE CONSULTING SERVICES FINANCE FOREIGN CURRENCY PUBLIC INVESTMENT CONSUMER CONFIDENCE TAXES LAND USE INVESTMENT DECISIONS BANKS FISCAL DEFICIT RESOURCES UNEMPLOYMENT DEPOSITORS GRANT DEREGULATION EQUITY PRODUCTIVITY GROWTH CONSUMPTION HUMAN CAPITAL FEDERAL RESERVE INTEREST PAYMENTS ECONOMIC IMPACT CAPITAL INSTALLMENT EDUCATION LEVELS FAMILY FINANCIAL CAPITAL ACCESS TO FINANCE POLICY MAKERS BANK HOUSING LOAN CREDIT FIXED CAPITAL TREASURY BILLS PURCHASING POWER DEMAND CPI FAMILY INCOME SUSTAINABLE GROWTH HOUSEHOLD AGRICULTURAL SECTOR REPAYMENT ENVIRONMENTS EXPENDITURES ENTERPRISE PROPERTY REFUGEE DECISION MAKING CORPORATE TAXES GUARANTOR TAX RATES JOB CREATION EMPLOYMENT GROWTH REFUGEES BALANCE SHEET ENVIRONMENT DIVERSIFICATION ECONOMICS PROFITABILITY CREDIT RISK ECONOMIC DEVELOPMENT TRADE LAND FIXED ASSETS SECURITY BANK LOANS INVESTMENT COMMERCIAL BANKS HOUSEHOLDS COMPARATIVE ADVANTAGE POSITIVE EXTERNALITIES KEY BENEFIT BALANCE SHEETS PUBLIC FINANCES FINANCIAL MARKETS COOPERATION GLOBAL INTEREST EXTERNAL SHOCKS REVENUE PRIVATE INVESTMENTS PRIVATE CONSUMPTION EARNINGS HIGH UNEMPLOYMENT WAREHOUSES INVESTMENTS FEES EXCHANGE RATE FAMILIES ACCELERATOR REMITTANCES PROFITS POLICY INSTRUMENTS CAPITAL INVESTMENT ENVIRONMENTAL LABOR MARKETS ARREARS SMALL BUSINESSES PRICES GUARANTEE NEGATIVE EXTERNALITIES ECONOMIC CONDITIONS ECONOMIES START-UPS COMPETITION EMPLOYEES
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Washington, DC
Middle East and North Africa | Lebanon
2016-07-12T15:55:54Z | 2016-07-12T15:55:54Z | 2016-07

The geo-economy presents Lebanon with challenges associated with being a nexus for regional fault lines and risks from its dependence on capital inflows. Despite markedly improved security conditions since the start of 2015, anxiety over regional turmoil and potential spillover effectspersist. All the while, Lebanon continues to be, by far, the largest host of Syrian refugees (in proportion to the population). In addition, the economy’s dependence on its diaspora to finance internal and external imbalances exposes Lebanon to economic and political conditions beyond its influence. Despite these challenges and risks, the political process remains impaired with the vacant presidency completing its second year with uncertain prospects of a near-term resolution. On the other hand, a short-term solution has been found to the garbage crisis that has left piles of trash uncollected on the streets across the country since summer 2015. The Lebanon Economic Monitor provides an update on key economic developments and policies over the past six months. It also presents findings from recent World Bank work on Lebanon. It places them in a longer-term and global context, and assesses the implications of these developments and other changes in policy on the outlook for Lebanon. Its coverage ranges from the macro-economy to financial markets to indicators of human welfare and development.

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